(CNN) — As they fight for momentum on the campaign trail, Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama have also spent the past week-and-a-half dueling it out on the airwaves in multiple Super Tuesday states, to the tune of $2.5 to 3 million each.
The outcome of the Republican contest may be just as uncertain – but no GOP candidate is currently on the air in any of the 21 states that will weigh in on their party’s presidential nomination next Tuesday.
“They made a gamble that someone would have momentum,” says Evan Tracey of TNS Media Intelligence/CMAG, with tracks campaign ad spending. “But no one has captured it. They’re all looking to see what happens in Florida today.”
Currently, just two Republican contenders are reaching viewers in states which vote after Florida’s primary. Mike Huckabee – who is facing a campaign cash crush — has made a less-expensive national cable buy which will also show up in those states. And Ron Paul has purchased airtime in Hawaii, which votes February 19, and his home state of Texas, which weighs in March 4.
Now Carpetbagger says that all the GOP candidates "put their eggs in the Florida basket, leaving those who come up short in a tough spot." The idea here was that everyone thought that Florida would be the knock-out blow in gaining the GOP front-runner status--whether it was John McCain knocking out Mitt Romney, or Mitt Romney knocking out McCain, or Rudy Giuliani knocking everyone out. And these knock-out blows would allow the Florida winner to cruise into the Super Duper Tuesday states as the victor, and the GOP front-runner.
Instead what happens in Florida is that McCain doesn't get a knock-out blow against Romney, but rather gets a close, 18-round slug-fest win over Romney in which both campaigns have pretty much used up their resources in Florida. Now McCain has a 21-state super-slug-fest against Romney, and both candidates are badly bloodied, bruised, and have yet begun to start their advertising within these states. And it is going to take a couple of days for both campaigns to set up the political campaign commercials (If they have not already), target the states, purchase the advertising, and counter their opponent's advertising with new advertising--all within a week.
2 comments:
Hillary is already airing national general election commercials. Why not? Kill two birds with one stone.
McCain has no chance against the Democrats, but Romney could win. Here's an interesting article:
http://christianprophecy.blogspot.com/
Hello Christian Prophet: And thank you for your comment. All the candidates are airing national commercials, and perhaps general election commercials. I've seen commercials for Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama, Mitt Romney, and John McCain. Why? Because it is Super Duper Pooper Scooper Tuesday, and the candidates all want a big chunk of California's delegates.
Now as for your own love of Mitt Romney for president, that is fine with me. You can support Romney all you want. I, however, will not support any GOP presidential candidate--not John McCain, not Mike Huckabee, not Ron Paul, and certainly not Mitt Romney. I have seen seven years of this current Bush administration's disaster, incompetence, failures, and corruption. If I want serious change in Washington, why should I vote for the same political party that brought us King George The Deciderer, and his failed presidency, to the White House? Why should I vote for Mitt Romney--because he says he is for change? I'm better off voting for a Democratic candidate like Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama, who just may provide real change in the direction this country is heading. I'm better off voting for a Democratic candidate who will get us out of this disastrous Iraq war, fix the broken health care system, find some way to reform immigration, and cut down on this $9 trillion debt that we have accumulated--with almost $4 trillion accumulated under this King George The Deciderer.
One more point I want to talk about. I've been watching the Republican race, and I'm starting to wonder if it is McCain that seems to be edging forward in the front-runner position. The GOP debate seems to be centralizing itself on the Iraq war, with McCain touting the surge's "success," while also claiming that his military and foreign policy experience makes him the best candidate. I'm thinking that GOP voters are listening to that argument, more than they are listening to Romney's pitch that Washington is broken and they must vote for Romney to fix it. Considering the economic problems this country faces, I'm wondering if conservative voters are wishing to relive the better times of the U.S. "winning" the war in Iraq and are listening more to McCain's message than Romneys? I can't say. We may know more about the GOP race, and where things stand after Super Duper Tuesday.
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